By Colin Dunlap | 1 a.m. Sunday
Venue: A.J. Palumbo Center
Time: 2 p.m.
Probable starters for Duquesne:
- No. 32 B.J. Monteiro 6-5 G/F So. 12.3ppg 5.5rpg
- No. 30 Bill Clark 6-5 G/F Jr. 19.2ppg 6.6rpg
- No. 25 Damian Saunders 6-7 F Jr. 17.2ppg 15.4rpg
- No. 13 Jason Duty 6-1 G Sr. 7.4ppg 3.4rpg
- No. 3 Eric Evans 5-11 G So. 7.4ppg 3.2rpg
Probable starters for Radford:
- No. 45 Artsiom Parakhouski 6-11 C Sr. 24.7ppg 14.7rpg
- No. 40 Joey Lynch-Flohr 6-8 F Sr. 16.7ppg 9.3rpg
- No. 30 Phillip Martin 6-6 F Sr. 10.7ppg 4.7rpg
- No. 25 Blake Smith 6-4 G Fr. 12.7ppg 5.7rpg
- No. 11 Amir Johnson 5-9 G Sr. 4.0ppg 4.0rpg
In my estimation, here is what the Dukes need to do to win this game: This one would seem pretty easy on the surface, and when you dig deeper, well, you can't get away from what you notice on the surface --- Duquesne better limit Parakhouski if it wants to win this game. The 6-11 kid from Belarus is a stud, will get a look in the NBA, and remember last year down in Virginia against this team, he had a double-double with 17 points and 20 rebounds, even as the Dukes earned a 19-point win. But, this year, Aaron Jackson isn't around to save the day. Now, let's be realistic, Parakhouski is going to get his today, especially without the Dukes having a 5-man right now who has shown he can be a force on this level. But, what Duquesne cannot let him do is score at will, or control the glass -- on both ends -- at will. Like I said, something like 21 and 15 might not be all that bad. I know that sounds crazy, but you almost resign yourself to giving up a double-double to him walking in the door. But, if he gets 35 or 40 points, or is able to rebound with little resistance (especially on the offensive end), the Dukes could be in trouble.
In my estimation, here is what the Highlanders need to do to win this game: Make the magic number 139 or lower. If the aggregate total of this game gets above 139 (a quirky number, I know) it would seem Radford's chances would dwindle with every point scored thereafter. Now, I know, I know, I know .... this is a different Duquesne team than the last few years, this is a team with a little less depth and one that might not seem as explosive -- offensively -- as the past couple of years. Still, with that said, in the win against Nicholls State, the Dukes scored 85; against Arkansas-Monticello they got 75 and against Binghamton scored 70 and put it on cruise control. Against Western Carolina, the Dukes scored 77 in a loss and it was a game they very well could have won. To me, that all adds up to something simple: If Radford controls the pace, if they are able to work clock, take very good shots as opposed to just OK ones and get the ball in the low block to their big guys -- Parakhouski and Lynch-Flohr -- they could very well leave the Palumbo with a victory.